Alexia Thainara vs Virna Jandiroba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record23-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
67"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Virna Jandiroba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexia Thainara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1763
If they lose-15→ 1731
If they win+15→ 1785
If they lose-17→ 1753
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraVirna Jandiroba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara60%
Virna Jandiroba 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 60% favorite over Virna Jandiroba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Virna Jandiroba's way (47%).
Virna Jandiroba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1746, a 24-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Virna Jandiroba 65%.
Alexia Thainara and Virna Jandiroba share 1 common opponent: Amanda Lemos.
Alexia Thainara carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.