Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexia Thainara vs Xiaonan Yan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
67"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Ribas FamilyTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexia ThainaraNow 1746
If they win+15→ 1761
If they lose-17→ 1729
Xiaonan YanNow 1734
If they win+17→ 1751
If they lose-15→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
60%
Strike defense
60%
4.54
Takedown avg.
0.84
4%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
65%
1.82
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexia ThainaraXiaonan Yan
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
8 (53%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (47%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexia Thainara75%
Xiaonan Yan 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 75% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1734), separated by just 12 points.

Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.

Alexia Thainara carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.