Alexis Davis vs Jennifer Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record23-10-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
68"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamChute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis DavisJennifer Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexis Davis53%
Jennifer Maia 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Davis a 53% favorite over Jennifer Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jennifer Maia's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1660), separated by just 11 points.
Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Jennifer Maia 39%.
Alexis Davis and Jennifer Maia share 1 common opponent: Katlyn Cerminara.
Alexis Davis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.