Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Davis vs Julija Stoliarenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alexis Davis
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Alexis Davis

“Ally-Gator”

21-11-0BantamweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record11-9-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamFighter House

What's at stake

Alexis Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Julija Stoliarenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis DavisNow 1649
If they win+9→ 1658
If they lose-15→ 1634
Julija StoliarenkoNow 1551
If they win+20→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
49%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
55%
Strike defense
46%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.93
45%
Takedown accuracy
28%
35%
Takedown defense
55%
0.65
Submission avg.
1.67

Trajectory

Alexis DavisJulija Stoliarenko
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (38%)
Submission
10 (91%)
11 (52%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Davis67%
Julija Stoliarenko 33%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Davis a 67% favorite over Julija Stoliarenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Alexis Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1551, a 98-point edge.

Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Julija Stoliarenko 91%.

Alexis Davis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.