Alexis Davis vs Karol Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexis DavisKarol Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa62%
Alexis Davis 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 62% favorite over Alexis Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexis Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.
Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Karol Rosa 32%.
Alexis Davis and Karol Rosa share 2 common opponents: Pannie Kianzad and Sara McMann.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.