Alexis Davis vs Viviane Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamCerrado MMA
What's at stake
Alexis Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Viviane Araujo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1636
If they win+17→ 1642
If they lose-15→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexis DavisViviane Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Viviane Araujo55%
Alexis Davis 45%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Viviane Araujo a 55% favorite over Alexis Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexis Davis's way (47%).
Alexis Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1625, a 24-point edge.
Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.
Alexis Davis and Viviane Araujo share 2 common opponents: Katlyn Cerminara and Liz Carmouche.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.