Alexis Fontes vs Maki Pitolo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
Obyfight· 1582 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWest Oahu MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis FontesMaki Pitolo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maki Pitolo58%
Alexis Fontes 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Maki Pitolo a 58% favorite over Alexis Fontes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexis Fontes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.
Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexis Fontes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.