Alexis Nicolas vs Ilyasse Drabo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"HeightTBD
72"Reach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Alexis Nicolas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ilyasse Drabo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1551
If they lose-26→ 1503
If they win+26→ 1528
If they lose-22→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis NicolasIlyasse Drabo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilyasse Drabo53%
Alexis Nicolas 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilyasse Drabo a 53% favorite over Alexis Nicolas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexis Nicolas's way (46%).
Alexis Nicolas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1502, a 27-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.