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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Hugo Vach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Hugo Vach
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Hugo Vach

“The German Tarzan”

8-2-0BantamweightOKMMA

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Diversity teamTeamFightschool Hannover

What's at stake

Hugo Vach is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexis Tsarmantidis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis TsarmantidisNow 1599
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-15→ 1584
Hugo VachNow 1620
If they win+15→ 1635
If they lose-17→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexis TsarmantidisHugo Vach
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Tsarmantidis51%
Hugo Vach 49%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Tsarmantidis a 51% favorite over Hugo Vach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hugo Vach's way (47%).

Hugo Vach holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1599, a 21-point edge.

Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Hugo Vach 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.