Alexis Tsarmantidis vs John Teixeira
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexis Tsarmantidis and John Teixeira within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
John Teixeira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Teixeira 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record27-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Diversity teamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis TsarmantidisJohn Teixeira