Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Keweny Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record12-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Diversity teamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Keweny Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexis Tsarmantidis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-15→ 1584
If they win+15→ 1636
If they lose-17→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis TsarmantidisKeweny Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexis Tsarmantidis52%
Keweny Lopes 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Tsarmantidis a 52% favorite over Keweny Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keweny Lopes's way (47%).
Keweny Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1599, a 22-point edge.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.