Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexsandro Cangaty vs Armando Villarreal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-2Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sparta Nenem TeamTeamBlitz Sport MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexsandro CangatyNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Armando VillarrealNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexsandro CangatyArmando Villarreal
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (40%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexsandro Cangaty60%
Armando Villarreal 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexsandro Cangaty a 60% favorite over Armando Villarreal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.

Alexsandro Cangaty finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Armando Villarreal 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.