Alfie Davis vs Mateusz Legierski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamOctagon Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisMateusz Legierski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Legierski52%
Alfie Davis 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 52% favorite over Alfie Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alfie Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1695), separated by just 3 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Legierski 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.