Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Carlos Leal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach74"
157 lbsWeight169 lbs
Golden Team· 1723 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali AbdulkhalikovCarlos Leal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Leal59%
Ali Abdulkhalikov 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 59% favorite over Ali Abdulkhalikov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1719), separated by just 4 points.
Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Leal 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.