Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Bagautinov vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Ali Bagautinov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ali BagautinovNow 1715
If they win+10→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1701
Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+14→ 1659
If they lose-10→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
42%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.51
Takedown avg.
3.61
37%
Takedown accuracy
25%
65%
Takedown defense
59%
0.26
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Ali BagautinovTim Elliott
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
5 (23%)
Submission
8 (38%)
11 (50%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Bagautinov60%
Tim Elliott 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagautinov a 60% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Ali Bagautinov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1645, a 70-point edge.

Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.