Ali Bagautinov vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record22-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Ali Bagautinov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1726
If they lose-14→ 1702
If they win+14→ 1671
If they lose-10→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagautinovTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Bagautinov55%
Tim Elliott 45%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagautinov a 55% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ali Bagautinov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1657, a 59-point edge.
Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.