Ali Bagov vs Dan Henderson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-13-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69.7"Reach74"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagovDan Henderson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ali Bagov and Dan Henderson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1739), separated by just 4 points.
Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dan Henderson 56%.
Dan Henderson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.