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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Gündüz vs Ronnie Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ali Gündüz
de

Ali Gündüz

“The Gorilla”

7-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1581 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali GündüzNow 1638
If they win+24→ 1662
If they lose-24→ 1614
Ronnie LawrenceNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
6.75
Not available
Takedown accuracy
77%
Not available
Takedown defense
45%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Ali GündüzRonnie Lawrence
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Gündüz60%
Ronnie Lawrence 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Gündüz a 60% favorite over Ronnie Lawrence in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Ali Gündüz finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ronnie Lawrence 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.