Ali Hodeib vs Daniel Hromek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record6-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight174 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1611 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1620 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Ali Hodeib is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Daniel Hromek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1543
If they lose-25→ 1495
If they win+17→ 1522
If they lose-15→ 1490
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali HodeibDaniel Hromek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Hromek53%
Ali Hodeib 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Hromek a 53% favorite over Ali Hodeib in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Hodeib's way (48%).
Ali Hodeib holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1520 to 1505, a 15-point edge.
Daniel Hromek 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.