Ali Suleymanov vs Chris Duncan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-1-0Record15-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach71"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
World FightersTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali SuleymanovChris Duncan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Suleymanov56%
Chris Duncan 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Suleymanov a 56% favorite over Chris Duncan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1723), separated by just 0 points.
Ali Suleymanov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ali Suleymanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Chris Duncan 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.