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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Suleymanov vs Chris Padilla

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record18-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach74"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
World FightersTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1673 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali SuleymanovNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Chris PadillaNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
21%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Ali SuleymanovChris Padilla
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
5 (31%)
Submission
6 (33%)
6 (38%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Suleymanov51%
Chris Padilla 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Suleymanov a 51% favorite over Chris Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1723), separated by just 0 points.

Ali Suleymanov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Ali Suleymanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Chris Padilla 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.