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Fighter comparison

Ali Suleymanov vs Nurullo Aliev

Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev57%
Ali Suleymanov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 57% favorite over Ali Suleymanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Suleymanov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1722), separated by just 1 points.

Ali Suleymanov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ali Suleymanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record12-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali SuleymanovNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Nurullo AlievNow 1722
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.59
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.48
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Ali SuleymanovNurullo Aliev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (38%)
Decision
10 (83%)