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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Evgeny Erokhin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record26-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach-
205 lbsWeight207 lbs
MMA LabTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Evgeny ErokhinNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alik LorenzEvgeny Erokhin
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
20 (77%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (4%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Erokhin58%
Alik Lorenz 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Erokhin a 58% favorite over Alik Lorenz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alik Lorenz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Alik Lorenz enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Evgeny Erokhin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Erokhin 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.