Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77.5"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamOne Way Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1609
If they win+23→ 1632
If they lose-25→ 1584
Mahamed AlyNow 1596
If they win+25→ 1621
If they lose-23→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alik LorenzMahamed Aly
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1596), separated by just 13 points.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.