Combat Edge Model · Full card

RIZIN 55 predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on RIZIN 55 (November 8, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Make your picks free — beat the model Event overview

15Total bouts

15Frozen forecasts

4Close matchups

3Model / Elo splits

2Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

Card intelligence

Find the fights that matter

Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 15 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Flyweight Championshipv0.8-2026-10-04

Makoto Takahashi23-5-1

Tony Laramie13-3-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

50.7%Makoto Takahashi49.3%Tony Laramie

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 46%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Naoki Inoue21-5-0

Yrysbek Tilenov8-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

69%Naoki Inoue31%Yrysbek Tilenov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Ryuya Fukuda26-10-1

Soo Chul Kim24-9-1

Model leanModel + Elo agree

44%Ryuya Fukuda57%Soo Chul Kim

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 47% / 53%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Jinnosuke Kashimura12-6-0

Shinobu Ota8-6-0

Close matchupModel / Elo split

49.7%Jinnosuke Kashimura50.3%Shinobu Ota

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 46%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Kaleo Meheula7-4-0

Kazuki Aimoto10-0-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

21%Kaleo Meheula79%Kazuki Aimoto

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 31% / 70%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Hiroaki Suzuki7-6-0

Sei Min Kim7-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

31%Hiroaki Suzuki69%Sei Min Kim

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 34% / 66%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Juntaro Ushiku24-14-1

Kaiwen Li17-8-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

35%Juntaro Ushiku65%Kaiwen Li

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49.1% / 50.9%

Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Kyung Pyo Kim15-5-0

Nurkhan Zhumagazy11-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

43%Kyung Pyo Kim57%Nurkhan Zhumagazy

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 48% / 52%

Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Tatsuya Saika14-8-0

Daigo Kuramoto8-3-0

Model leanModel / Elo split

38%Tatsuya Saika62%Daigo Kuramoto

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 51% / 49%

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Taichi Nakajima20-14-1

Tsukasa Mizoguchi4-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

38%Taichi Nakajima62%Tsukasa Mizoguchi

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%

Flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Rikiya Matsuzawa14-13-0

Rio Kimura2-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

30%Rikiya Matsuzawa70%Rio Kimura

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49.4% / 50.6%

Flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Takumi Hamada7-0-0

Sho Sekihara14-5-0

Close matchupModel / Elo split

49%Takumi Hamada51%Sho Sekihara

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 53% / 47%

Prelims

Prelims predictions

3 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Naohiro Matsumoto8-7-1

Masachika Takahashi3-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agree

33%Naohiro Matsumoto67%Masachika Takahashi

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 45% / 55%

Featherweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Shunya Inoue0-0-0

Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt1-1-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

30%Shunya Inoue70%Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%

Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04

Jake Wilkins5-4-0

Yajuro Yamasaki3-0-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

46%Jake Wilkins54%Yajuro Yamasaki

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 44% / 56%