Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Ty Flores

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Flores
us

Ty Flores

“Big Medicine”

14-5-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Ty FloresNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.80
TBD
Strike defense
25%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alik LorenzTy Flores
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (13%)
Submission
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Alik Lorenz83%
Ty Flores 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 83% favorite over Ty Flores in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1634), separated by just 3 points.

Alik Lorenz enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ty Flores 36%.

Alik Lorenz and Ty Flores share 1 common opponent: Ryan Parker.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2024
Ryan Parker
Win Decision · 2023