Alikhan Vakhaev vs Amir Aliakbari
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Alikhan Vakhaev56%
Amir Aliakbari 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 56% favorite over Amir Aliakbari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alikhan Vakhaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1711, a 30-point edge.
Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Amir Aliakbari 73%.
Alikhan Vakhaev and Amir Aliakbari share 2 common opponents: Tony Johnson Jr. and Salimgerey Rasulov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record16-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Alikhan Vakhaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Amir Aliakbari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1756
If they lose-17→ 1724
If they win+17→ 1728
If they lose-15→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alikhan VakhaevAmir Aliakbari
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinTKO (Punches and Elbows) · 2025