Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Amir Aliakbari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 18 ratedTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

Alikhan Vakhaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Amir Aliakbari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1714
If they win+15→ 1729
If they lose-17→ 1697
Amir AliakbariNow 1697
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-15→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevAmir Aliakbari
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (47%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev70%
Amir Aliakbari 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 70% favorite over Amir Aliakbari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alikhan Vakhaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1697, a 17-point edge.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Amir Aliakbari 73%.

Alikhan Vakhaev and Amir Aliakbari share 1 common opponent: Shelton Graves.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2019
Shelton Graves
Win KO/TKO · 2019