Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Mick Parkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record10-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-Reach 79"
265 lbsWeight263 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Mick ParkinNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevMick Parkin
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (10%)
7 (47%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alikhan Vakhaev and Mick Parkin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1709), separated by just 5 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.