Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Shamil Gaziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Shamil GazievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.92
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevShamil Gaziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (44%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev73%
Shamil Gaziev 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 73% favorite over Shamil Gaziev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1730), separated by just 8 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.