Alistair Overeem vs Walt Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
47-19-0Record13-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
TBDReach77,0"
256 lbsWeight264 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamSBG Alabama
What's at stake
Alistair Overeem is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Walt Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1744
If they win+21→ 1674
If they lose-11→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alistair OvereemWalt Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alistair Overeem61%
Walt Harris 39%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Alistair Overeem a 61% favorite over Walt Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Alistair Overeem holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1653, a 107-point edge.
Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Walt Harris 100%.
Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris share 3 common opponents: Alexander Volkov, Aleksei Oleinik and Fabrício Werdum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.