Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Aljamain Sterling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Youssef Zalal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1864
If they lose-16→ 1840
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-8→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aljamain SterlingYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aljamain Sterling62%
Youssef Zalal 38%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Aljamain Sterling a 62% favorite over Youssef Zalal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Aljamain Sterling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1735, a 121-point edge.
Aljamain Sterling enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aljamain Sterling finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Aljamain Sterling and Youssef Zalal share 1 common opponent: Calvin Kattar.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.