Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Begosso vs Garrett Armfield

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-1Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
67.5"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamSpringfield Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allan BegossoNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
40%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
34%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
1.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
25%
Takedown defense
65%
2
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Allan BegossoGarrett Armfield
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Allan Begosso53%
Garrett Armfield 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Allan Begosso a 53% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Allan Begosso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Allan Begosso finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.

Garrett Armfield carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.