Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record18-11-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Allan Nascimento is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-19→ 1665
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-10→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Allan NascimentoCody Durden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Durden51%
Allan Nascimento 49%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 51% favorite over Allan Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allan Nascimento's way (42%).
Allan Nascimento holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1625, a 59-point edge.
Allan Nascimento finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.
Allan Nascimento and Cody Durden share 3 common opponents: Jafel Filho, Jake Hadley and Tagir Ulanbekov.
Allan Nascimento carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.