Allan Nascimento vs Jafel Filho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1698
If they lose-17→ 1666
If they win+17→ 1686
If they lose-15→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allan NascimentoJafel Filho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Allan Nascimento51%
Jafel Filho 49%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Allan Nascimento a 51% favorite over Jafel Filho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1669), separated by just 14 points.
Allan Nascimento finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.
Allan Nascimento and Jafel Filho share 1 common opponent: Cody Durden.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.