Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento

May 31, 2025 · ESPN+

DateMay 31, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUFC APEX

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 31, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Jafel FilhoPastor |17-5-0Jafel Filho vs Allan NascimentoAllan NascimentoPuro Osso |22-7-0

Jafel FilhoPastor17-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

17-5-0Record22-7-0

33Age35

5'7"Height5'9"

68"Reach69"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Allan NascimentoPuro Osso22-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Allan Nascimento owns a 14-point Elo edge (good). Jafel Filho shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jafel Filho and Allan Nascimento across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jafel FilhoAllan Nascimento

Recent form

Jafel FilhoL W L W W · +18 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Allan NascimentoL W W W W · +58 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Jafel Filho1670-19 last move

Allan Nascimento1684-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jafel Filho#95 of 319 active Bantamweight fighters · 1670 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vinicius Salvador (rated 1601 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cody Durden (rated 1623 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +18 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #94 Mehroj Mamadshoev, 0 ahead of #96 Magomed Magomedov.

Allan Nascimento#39 of 195 active Flyweight fighters · 1684 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Carlos Hernandez (rated 1668 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yuki Motoya (rated 1567 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +58 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #38 Jesus Aguilar, 4 ahead of #40 Jarred Brooks.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jafel FilhoNow 1670 · #95 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1687

Loses by decision-15→ 1655

Allan NascimentoNow 1684 · #39 Flyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1699

Loses by decision-17→ 1667

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jafel FilhovsAllan Nascimento

Submission average

2.24vs1.05

Takedown average

2.52vs1.26

Takedown accuracy

45%vs23%

Takedown defense

67%vs38%

Finishing profile

Jafel Filhosubmission leads 65% of wins

Allan Nascimentosubmission leads 68% of wins

Common opponents

Cody Durden Jafel Filho: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 25, 2026 Allan Nascimento: win · Submission (Anaconda Choke) · Nov 1, 2025

Tale of the tape

Jafel FilhoAllan Nascimento

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.85Sig. strikes landed per min3.06

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

42Sig. strike accuracy56

UFC flyweight average : 44%

1.62Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.53

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

50Sig. strike defense52

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.52Takedown average1.26

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

45Takedown accuracy23

UFC flyweight average : 26%

67Takedown defense38

UFC flyweight average : 57%

2.24Submission average1.05

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

5Wins by knockout2

11Wins by submission15

1Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision7

Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLANCHFIELD VS BARBER. Jafel Filho enters with a 17-5-0 record and Allan Nascimento enters with a 22-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.