Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
69"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1697
If they lose-17→ 1665
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Allan Nascimento52%
Mitch Raposo 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Allan Nascimento a 52% favorite over Mitch Raposo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1670), separated by just 12 points.
Mitch Raposo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Allan Nascimento finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Raposo 64%.
Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo share 1 common opponent: Jake Hadley.
Allan Nascimento carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.