Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento

Apr 18, 2026 · PARAMOUNT +

DateApr 18, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueCANADA LIFE CENTRE

BroadcastPARAMOUNT +

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 18, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT +.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Mitch Raposo11-3-0Mitch Raposo vs Allan NascimentoAllan NascimentoPuro Osso |22-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Allan Nascimento owns a 14-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Mitch Raposo and Allan Nascimento across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mitch RaposoAllan Nascimento

Recent form

Mitch RaposoW W L L W · +24 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Allan NascimentoL W W W W · +58 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Mitch Raposo1670+15 last move

Allan Nascimento1684-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mitch Raposo#52 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1670 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Flávio Carvalho (rated 1500 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jake Hadley (rated 1646 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +24 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #51 Lone’er Kavanagh, 1 ahead of #53 Aaron Tau.

Allan Nascimento#40 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1684 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Carlos Hernandez (rated 1668 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Yuki Motoya (rated 1567 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +58 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #39 Jesus Aguilar, 3 ahead of #41 Jarred Brooks.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Mitch RaposoNow 1670 · #52 Flyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1687

Loses by decision-15→ 1655

Allan NascimentoNow 1684 · #40 Flyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1699

Loses by decision-17→ 1667

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mitch RaposovsAllan Nascimento

Submission average

0vs1.05

Takedown average

2.54vs1.26

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.73vs3.06

Takedown accuracy

38%vs23%

Finishing profile

Mitch RaposoKO/TKO leads 36% of wins

Allan Nascimentosubmission leads 68% of wins

Common opponents

Sumudaerji Mitch Raposo: loss · Decision (Split) · Apr 12, 2025Allan Nascimento: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Dec 9, 2023

Jake HadleyMitch Raposo: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Oct 12, 2021Allan Nascimento: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 14, 2022

Jake HadleyMitch Raposo: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Oct 12, 2021Allan Nascimento: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 19, 2022

Tale of the tape

Mitch RaposoAllan Nascimento

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.73Sig. strikes landed per min3.06

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

37Sig. strike accuracy56

UFC flyweight average : 44%

2.65Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.53

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

61Sig. strike defense52

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.54Takedown average1.26

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

38Takedown accuracy23

UFC flyweight average : 26%

62Takedown defense38

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0Submission average1.05

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

4Wins by knockout2

3Wins by submission15

4Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision7

Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BURNS VS MALOTT. Mitch Raposo enters with a 11-3-0 record and Allan Nascimento enters with a 22-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.