Allen Crowder vs Guilherme Pat
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76,0"Reach80"
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Rubao Carioca BJJTeamLotus Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allen CrowderGuilherme Pat
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Pat60%
Allen Crowder 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 60% favorite over Allen Crowder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allen Crowder's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.
Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Allen Crowder finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.
Guilherme Pat carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.