Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Frye vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
80"Reach80"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamLotus Club

What's at stake

Allen Frye is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Guilherme Pat carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Allen FryeNow 1624
If they win+22→ 1646
If they lose-26→ 1598
Guilherme PatNow 1594
If they win+26→ 1620
If they lose-22→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
38%
Strike accuracy
62%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
36%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Allen FryeGuilherme Pat
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Allen Frye and Guilherme Pat within a point of even.

Allen Frye holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1594, a 30-point edge.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.