Combat Edge Intelligence

Allen Frye vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
80"Reach80"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Brunsons MMA and FitnessTeamLotus Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allen FryeNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Guilherme PatNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
4.27
38%
Strike accuracy
64%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
36%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Allen FryeGuilherme Pat
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Allen Frye and Guilherme Pat within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1618), separated by just 6 points.

Allen Frye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.