Combat Edge Intelligence

Almir Augusto vs Journey Newson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
-Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamImpact Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Almir AugustoNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Journey NewsonNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Almir AugustoJourney Newson
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (25%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Almir Augusto62%
Journey Newson 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Almir Augusto a 62% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.

Almir Augusto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Almir Augusto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Journey Newson 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.