Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Carlos Ulberg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record14-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alonzo Menifield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1730
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-9→ 1721
Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+12→ 1830
If they lose-20→ 1798

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
6.54
53%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.55
31%
Takedown accuracy
60%
78%
Takedown defense
86%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldCarlos Ulberg
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg80%
Alonzo Menifield 20%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 80% favorite over Alonzo Menifield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1730, a 88-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Ulberg 71%.

Alonzo Menifield and Carlos Ulberg share 1 common opponent: Volkan Oezdemir.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2025
Volkan Oezdemir
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024