Alonzo Menifield vs Ed Herman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record26-16-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-15→ 1715
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-9→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alonzo MenifieldEd Herman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alonzo Menifield83%
Ed Herman 17%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 83% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1642, a 88-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ed Herman 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.