Alonzo Menifield vs Paul Craig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record17-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamScottish Hit Squad
What's at stake
Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Paul Craig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716
If they win+14→ 1676
If they lose-10→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alonzo MenifieldPaul Craig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alonzo Menifield79%
Paul Craig 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 79% favorite over Paul Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1662, a 68-point edge.
Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Paul Craig 100%.
Alonzo Menifield and Paul Craig share 1 common opponent: Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.