Alonzo Menifield vs Shamil Erdogan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record13-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alonzo MenifieldShamil Erdogan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Erdogan51%
Alonzo Menifield 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Erdogan a 51% favorite over Alonzo Menifield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.
Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 69%.
Shamil Erdogan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.