Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Vinicius Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamFive Rounds

What's at stake

Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Vinicius Moreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1730
If they win+7→ 1737
If they lose-17→ 1713
Vinicius MoreiraNow 1566
If they win+23→ 1589
If they lose-9→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
53%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
51%
Strike defense
43%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.97
31%
Takedown accuracy
19%
78%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldVinicius Moreira
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (17%)
Submission
10 (83%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alonzo Menifield90%
Vinicius Moreira 10%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 90% favorite over Vinicius Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1566, a 164-point edge.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.