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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-1Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1740
If they win+11→ 1751
If they lose-13→ 1727
Volkan OezdemirNow 1720
If they win+17→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.48
Takedown avg.
0.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
78%
Takedown defense
80%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldVolkan Oezdemir
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
3 (16%)
Submission
2 (10%)
5 (26%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Alonzo Menifield51%
Volkan Oezdemir 49%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 51% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1720, a 20-point edge.

Alonzo Menifield enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Alonzo Menifield and Volkan Oezdemir share 1 common opponent: Carlos Ulberg.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Carlos Ulberg
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024