Alou Camara vs Garcia Kinkela
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Alou Camara54%
Garcia Kinkela 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Alou Camara a 54% favorite over Garcia Kinkela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Alou Camara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1554, a 39-point edge.
Alou Camara enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Garcia Kinkela enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alou Camara finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Atch Academy· 1627 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAngolan Top Team
What's at stake
Alou Camara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Garcia Kinkela carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1614
If they lose-27→ 1566
If they win+27→ 1581
If they lose-21→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alou CamaraGarcia Kinkela