Altynbek Mamashov vs Chersi Dudaev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Altynbek Mamashov57%
Chersi Dudaev 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Altynbek Mamashov a 57% favorite over Chersi Dudaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chersi Dudaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1699), separated by just 1 points.
Altynbek Mamashov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Chersi Dudaev 56%.
Altynbek Mamashov and Chersi Dudaev share 2 common opponents: Elias Silvério and Elias Silverio.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-6-1Record18-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach-
187 lbsWeight172 lbs
Ataman FCTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Altynbek MamashovChersi Dudaev