Combat Edge Intelligence

Altynbek Mamashov vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

20-6-1Record19-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ataman FCTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Altynbek MamashovNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678
Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.41
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Altynbek MamashovMarvin Vettori
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
10 (50%)
Submission
9 (47%)
1 (5%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Altynbek Mamashov76%
Marvin Vettori 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Altynbek Mamashov a 76% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1688), separated by just 2 points.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Altynbek Mamashov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.