Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
74"Reach80"
260 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamLotus Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Guilherme PatNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
32%
Strike accuracy
62%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
38%
Strike defense
52%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alvin HinesGuilherme Pat
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alvin Hines and Guilherme Pat within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1594), separated by just 6 points.

Alvin Hines enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Guilherme Pat carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.