Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-1Record17-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65"Reach 63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Amanda Lemos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1655
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda LemosGillian Robertson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gillian Robertson56%
Amanda Lemos 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 56% favorite over Amanda Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1670, a 26-point edge.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Gillian Robertson 71%.
Amanda Lemos and Gillian Robertson share 3 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern, Marina Rodriguez and Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
Amanda Lemos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.